| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barnet | 6 | 5 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 28.04% ( | 24.08% ( | 47.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( | 44.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( | 66.88% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( | 29.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( | 65.26% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( | 18.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.93% ( | 50.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 3-0 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 28.04% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 2-4 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 47.88% |