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Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Chesterfield

Oldham
0 - 2
Chesterfield


Tollitt (14'), Roberts (57'), Threlkeld (73'), Clarke (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Quigley (1'), King (8')
King (79')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Chesterfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawChesterfield
28.04% (-0.332 -0.33)24.08% (-0.161 -0.16)47.88% (0.494 0.49)
Both teams to score 57.47% (0.302 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (0.508 0.51)44.51% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (0.48999999999999 0.49)66.88% (-0.488 -0.49)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.022999999999996 0.02)29.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)65.26% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (0.40300000000001 0.4)18.71% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93% (0.669 0.67)50.08% (-0.666 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 28.04%
    Chesterfield 47.88%
    Draw 24.08%
Oldham AthleticDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.73% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 28.04%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.7% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.3% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.21% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.88%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Oldham
0-0
Chesterfield

Erwin (21'), Clarke (28'), Flynn (48')

Wilkinson (19'), Anderson (39'), Dimaio (64')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Apr 18, 2015 3pm