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Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 5.20pm UK
Boundary Park

Oldham
3 - 2
Dorking

Hope (12'), Porter (53'), Tollitt (66')
Luamba (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (82'), Rutherford (86')
McShane (45'), Taylor (55'), Philpot (66')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Dorking Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 54%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.59%) and 1-3 (6.58%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawDorking Wanderers
25.18% (-0.942 -0.94)20.82% (-0.38 -0.38)54% (1.323 1.32)
Both teams to score 66.55% (0.417 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.58% (0.958 0.96)31.42% (-0.955 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.11% (1.119 1.12)52.88% (-1.118 -1.12)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.13 -0.13)24.45% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (-0.187 -0.19)58.88% (0.19 0.19)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.08% (0.705 0.7)11.91% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.74% (1.478 1.48)37.26% (-1.476 -1.48)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 25.18%
    Dorking Wanderers 54%
    Draw 20.82%
Oldham AthleticDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-0 @ 4.1% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.89% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 25.18%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.91% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.82%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.58% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.67% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 4.64% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 3.5% (0.183 0.18)
0-4 @ 2.49% (0.139 0.14)
2-4 @ 2.47% (0.12 0.12)
1-5 @ 1.49% (0.116 0.12)
3-4 @ 1.16% (0.052 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.086 0.09)
2-5 @ 1.05% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 54%

rhs 2.0


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