National League South | Gameweek 38
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Park View Road, Welling

Welling United
0 - 4
Dorking

FT(HT: 0-3)
Rutherford (13', 40', 45+2'), Rodari (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-3 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Welling United win it was 2-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
11.67%16.34%71.98%
Both teams to score 54.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.34%33.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.51%55.48%
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89%40.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25%76.75%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.82%8.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.33%28.67%
Score Analysis
    Welling United 11.67%
    Dorking Wanderers 71.98%
    Draw 16.34%
Welling UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 3.43%
1-0 @ 3%
2-0 @ 1.37%
3-2 @ 1.31%
3-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 11.67%
1-1 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 4.29%
0-0 @ 3.28%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 16.34%
0-2 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-3 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-3 @ 7.84%
0-4 @ 5.37%
1-4 @ 4.91%
2-3 @ 3.58%
0-5 @ 2.69%
1-5 @ 2.46%
2-4 @ 2.24%
0-6 @ 1.12%
2-5 @ 1.12%
1-6 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 71.98%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Dorking
3-1
Welling United
McManus (5'), Fuller (59'), Rutherford (90+1')
Derry (1')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Dorking
5-0
Welling United
Rutherford (17'), Wheeler (26'), Prior (47'), McShane (64'), Briggs (80')
rhs 2.0


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