National League South | Gameweek 36
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Park View Road, Welling
Welling United2 - 4Ebbsfleet
Derry (7'), Shokunbi (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Ebbsfleet.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Concord Rangers 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Chelmsford City | 40 | -7 | 41 |
| 20 | Welling United | 40 | -41 | 38 |
| 21 | Billericay Town | 40 | -27 | 36 |
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dorking Wanderers | 40 | 48 | 81 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 25 | 76 |
| 4 | Dartford | 40 | 33 | 74 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 18.64% | 22.17% | 59.2% |
| Both teams to score 52.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
