Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Oxford City
45.58%	25.77%	28.65%

Both teams to score 52.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.61%

51.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.79%

73.21%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49%

22.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92%

56.08%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59%

32.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08%

68.92%

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 45.57%

Oxford City 28.65%

Draw 25.76%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.57%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.65%