Ebbsfleet

3 - 1

Oxford City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.