Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 29.75% ( | 23.46% ( | 46.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( | 40.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( | 62.96% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( | 26.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( | 61.19% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( | 17.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.79% ( | 48.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.75% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 2-3 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 2-4 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 46.78% |