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Aldershot Town
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Chesterfield
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Yeovil Town
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at Meadowbank Stadium
Dorking
2 - 2
Chesterfield
McShane (67'), Moore (77')
Gallagher (23'), McManus (37'), Philpot (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Asante (18'), Dobra (41')
Dobra (8'), Horton (37'), Mandeville (79')
Lucas (28'), Horton (90+5')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Chesterfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawChesterfield
29.75% (0.012 0.01) 23.46% (0.0019999999999989 0) 46.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)40.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)62.96% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.12% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (0.010000000000005 0.01)61.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.012 -0.01)17.62% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)48.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 29.75%
    Chesterfield 46.78%
    Draw 23.45%
Dorking WanderersDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.75%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.62%
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 46.78%

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