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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 5.20pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Chesterfield

Notts County
2 - 2
Chesterfield

Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

Last Six:
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Notts County
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League

Chesterfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawChesterfield
49.05% (-0.204 -0.2)25.02% (0.143 0.14)25.93% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.64% (-0.389 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94% (-0.538 -0.54)50.06% (0.543 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (-0.483 -0.48)72.03% (0.486 0.49)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.3 -0.3)20.43% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (-0.482 -0.48)52.88% (0.485 0.48)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)33.84% (0.24100000000001 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (-0.259 -0.26)70.51% (0.26299999999999 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 49.05%
    Chesterfield 25.93%
    Draw 25.01%
Notts CountyDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 49.05%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.115 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 25.93%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
Jun 5, 2021 4pm
Notts County
3-2
Chesterfield
Wootton (30', 71'), Ellis (90')
Ellis (32')
Rowe (27'), Mandeville (42')
Maguire (24'), Oyeleke (32'), Gunning (65')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Notts County
0-1
Chesterfield

Miller (32'), (88')
Gunning (32')
Gunning (45'), Mandeville (66')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Chesterfield
2-3
Notts County
Smith (33'), Denton (78')
Cropper (45+3')
Turner (22'), Wootton (90+1', 90+3')
Kelly-Evans (44')