| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Maidenhead United | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Gateshead | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Notts County |
| 50.04% ( | 24% ( | 25.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( | 45.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( | 68.04% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( | 18.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.57% ( | 49.42% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( | 31.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( | 67.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 50.04% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 25.96% |