| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Woking | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Aldershot Town | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Maidenhead United | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 51.99% ( | 24.8% ( | 23.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( | 51.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( | 73.28% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( | 19.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% ( | 51.83% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% ( | 37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.21% ( | 73.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% 2-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.82% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.28% 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.73% Total : 23.2% |