| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Maidstone United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wrexham |
| 44.4% ( | 25.69% ( | 29.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( | 22.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.71% ( | 56.29% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69% ( | 31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.69% ( | 67.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.91% |