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Chesterfield
National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Technique Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Chesterfield
2 - 0
Wrexham

King (10'), Banks (23')
King (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McFadzean (31'), Palmer (73'), O'Connor (85')
Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Wrexham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawWrexham
44.4% (-0.13 -0.13)25.69% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)29.91% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.37% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (0.095999999999997 0.1)50.44% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (0.085000000000001 0.09)72.37% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.65% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)56.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.145 0.14)31% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (0.171 0.17)67.31% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 44.4%
    Wrexham 29.91%
    Draw 25.69%
ChesterfieldDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.4%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.91%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Chesterfield
0-2
Wrexham

Williams (63'), Whelan (90+3')
Palmer (58', 68')
Hayden (75'), Lainton (90+8')
Oct 5, 2021 7.45pm
Wrexham
1-1
Chesterfield
Mullin (84')
Kerr (5')
Maguire (19'), Kellerman (45'), Kerr (75')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Chesterfield
2-1
Wrexham
Asante (10', 88')
McCourt (18'), (90+2')
Young (19' pen.)
Davies (69')
Feb 8, 2020 1pm
Chesterfield
3-2
Wrexham
Denton (25'), Mandeville (72'), Weston (90')
Evans (79'), Buchanan (90')
Evans (21' og.), Ponticelli (68')
Lawlor (43'), Hooper (79')