Aldershot Town
Altrincham
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Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
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Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
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Scunthorpe United
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Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Southend United
National League | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Roots Hall Stadium
Oldham Athletic

Southend
1 - 0
Oldham

Mooney (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.

Result
Southend UnitedDrawOldham Athletic
47.75% (0.358 0.36)26.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)25.29% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 46.43% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11% (-0.236 -0.24)57.89% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.4% (-0.186 -0.19)78.6% (0.185 0.19)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (0.064999999999998 0.06)24.3% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (0.091000000000001 0.09)58.67% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.33% (-0.45099999999999 -0.45)38.67% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.59% (-0.429 -0.43)75.41% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Southend United 47.75%
    Oldham Athletic 25.29%
    Draw 26.96%
Southend UnitedDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 13.29% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.065 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.4% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 25.29%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Southend
1-2
Oldham
Clifford (76')
Grant (49'), Dearnley (89')
Piergianni (74'), Clarke (90+4')
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Oldham
0-3
Southend

Doyle (84'), Byrne (85')
Robinson (5'), Cox (52', 56')
Demetriou (71')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Southend
2-0
Oldham
Demetriou (17' pen.), Wright (54')
Demetriou (40'), McLaughlin (56')

Doyle (90')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Southend
3-0
Oldham
Ranger (75'), Robinson (78'), Wordsworth (96' pen.)
Wordsworth (21'), Cox (44'), Coker (69')
Leonard (70')

Banks (63'), Green (69'), McLaughlin (78'), Ripley (95')