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National League | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Oldham Athletic

York City
1 - 1
Oldham

Dyson (73')
Kouhyar (6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hope (47')
Roberts (31'), Threlkeld (89')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Oldham Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawOldham Athletic
30.21% (-0.044 -0.04)26.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)43.54% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.76% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.055 0.05)52.6% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (0.047999999999998 0.05)74.25% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)31.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)68.34% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (0.054000000000002 0.05)24% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (0.079999999999998 0.08)58.25% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    York City 30.21%
    Oldham Athletic 43.54%
    Draw 26.25%
York CityDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 30.21%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 43.54%