National League | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 1
Aldershot

Gardner (20'), Hope (90+4')
Threlkeld (32'), Gardner (88'), Tollitt (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Amaluzor (28')
Phillips (90+9')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Aldershot 0-1 Bromley
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Scunthorpe United	4	-3	3
22	Aldershot Town	4	-4	3
23	Yeovil Town	4	-2	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Aldershot Town
46.09% ( 0.02)	25.27%	28.64% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.68% (

-0.01)

49.31% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.63% (

-0.01)

71.36% (

0.01)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59% (

21.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.59% (

0.01)

54.4% (

-0.01)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67% (

-0.02)

31.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.31% (

-0.02)

67.69% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 46.08%

Aldershot Town 28.64%

Draw 25.26%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.46% Total : 46.08%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.64%