National League Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Boundary Park
  • Danny Gardner 20' goal
  • Oscar Threlkeld 32' yellowcard
  • Danny Gardner 88' yellowcard
  • Hallam Hope 90'+4' goal
  • Ben Tollitt 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Justin Amaluzor 28'
  • yellowcard Giles Phillips 90'+9'

Oldham Athletic vs Aldershot Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
National League
Last game
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
Southend 1 - 0 Oldham
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Mike Fondop

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
Aldershot 0 - 1 Bromley
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Inih Effiong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result

Oldham Athletic 46.09% (+0.03)
Draw 25.27%
Aldershot Town 28.64% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.97% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.68% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 49.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.63% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.36% (+0.02)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 78.59% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.41% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.59% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.4% (-0.01)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.67% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 31.33% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.31% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 67.69% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Oldham Athletic 46.08%
Draw 25.26%
Aldershot Town 28.64%
Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.97% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 46.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.26%
Aldershot Town
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.64%