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National League | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Eastleigh

York City
0 - 1
Eastleigh

FT(HT: 0-1)
McKiernan (42')
Hesketh (22'), Panter (34')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawEastleigh
45.9% (0.492 0.49)25.71% (-0.02 -0.02)28.38% (-0.474 -0.47)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (-0.172 -0.17)51.29% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (-0.152 -0.15)73.12% (0.151 0.15)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (0.15400000000001 0.15)22.32% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (0.23 0.23)55.79% (-0.23 -0.23)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)32.55% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (-0.505 -0.5)69.09% (0.504 0.5)
Score Analysis
    York City 45.9%
    Eastleigh 28.39%
    Draw 25.7%
York CityDrawEastleigh
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.9%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.39%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
York City
3-1
Eastleigh
Parkin (7', 13'), Oliver (80')
Heslop (61')
Stearn (16')
Johnson (86')
Nov 12, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0


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