National League North | Gameweek 41

May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Bootham Crescent

York City
2 - 1
Fylde

John-Lewis (38'), Hancox (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tollitt (62')

Coverage of the National League North clash between York City and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

Last Six:

Last Game: Telford 1-1 York City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Chorley	41	15	65
6	York City	41	8	65
7	Kettering Town	41	6	60

Fylde

Last Six:

Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Brackley Town	41	30	86
3	Fylde	41	30	77
4	Kidderminster Harriers	41	36	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Fylde
40.96%	28.17%	30.87%

Both teams to score 46.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.42%

59.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.08%

79.91%

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43%

28.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64%

64.36%

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.94%

35.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.2%

71.8%

Score Analysis

York City 40.95%

Fylde 30.86%

Draw 28.16%

York City	Draw	Fylde
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.95%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.13% Total : 30.86%