Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 4 | 8 |
4 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 8 |
5 | Wrexham | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 4 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Wealdstone | 4 | 2 | 9 |
3 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
58.06% ( -0.02) | 22.48% ( -0.05) | 19.46% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.73% ( 0.34) | 46.27% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.44% ( 0.32) | 68.56% ( -0.32) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.36% ( 0.11) | 15.64% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.34% ( 0.2) | 44.66% ( -0.2) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.21% ( 0.28) | 37.79% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.44% ( 0.27) | 74.56% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.05% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.48% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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