Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 71.61% ( | 17.28% ( | 11.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.02% ( | 39.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.65% ( | 62.34% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.12% ( | 9.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.27% ( | 32.73% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.65% ( | 45.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.79% ( | 81.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-0 @ 12% 1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 4-0 @ 5.36% ( 4-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 5-0 @ 2.48% ( 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 6-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 71.6% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 2-2 @ 3.75% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 17.28% | 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 2-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.11% |