Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 26.94% ( | 24.98% ( | 48.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( | 49.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( | 71.25% ( |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( | 32.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( | 69.1% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( | 20.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( | 52.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 3-0 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.94% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0-2 @ 8.38% ( 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.07% |