Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.