National League | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

Bootham Crescent

York City
1 - 3
Notts County

Kerr (35')

FT(HT: 1-2)

de Castro (5'), Langstaff (43', 80')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

Last Six:

Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-1 York City
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Notts County

Last Six:

Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Notts County
20.99% ( 0)	23.19%	55.82%

Both teams to score 52.63% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-0)

47.27% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51%

69.49% (

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.22%

36.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.44% (

-0)

73.56% (

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24% (

-0)

16.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.31% (

-0)

46.69% (

Score Analysis

York City 20.99%

Notts County 55.81%

Draw 23.19%

York City	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.51% 2-0 @ 3.08% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.99%	1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.19%	0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-2 @ 9.83% 1-3 @ 5.86% 0-3 @ 5.85% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 0.93% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.1% Total : 55.81%