National League Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Bootham Crescent
  • Fraser Kerr 35' goal
  • goal Quevin de Castro 5'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 43'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 80'

York City vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 1 - 1 York City
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lenell John-Lewis

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
Dorking 3 - 1 Notts County
Goals scored
117
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

York City 20.99% (+0.01)
Draw 23.19%
Notts County 55.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.63% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.73% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.27% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.51%
Under 3.5 69.49% (+0.01)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 63.22%
Under 0.5 36.78%
Over 1.5 26.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 73.56% (+0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 83.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.76% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 53.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 46.69% (+0.01)

Score analysis

York City 20.99%
Draw 23.19%
Notts County 55.81%
York City
1-0 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.51%
2-0 @ 3.08%
3-1 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 20.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 23.19%
Notts County
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.83%
1-3 @ 5.86%
0-3 @ 5.85%
2-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 2.62%
0-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 55.81%

Head to Head

League Two
Feb 13, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Michael Coulson 24' goal
  • Bradley Fewster 39' goal
  • Michael Coulson 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gary MacKenzie 28'
  • goal Lubomir Satka 63' (OG)
  • yellowcard Izale McLeod 66'
  • yellowcard Haydn Hollis 74'
League Two
Sep 26, 2015 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Izale McLeod 12' goal
  • Stanley Aborah 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Carson 36'
  • yellowcard Femi Ilesanmi 37'
  • yellowcard Reece Thompson 41'
  • yellowcard James Berrett 47'
  • yellowcard Russell Penn 66'