| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Aldershot Town | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 24 | Scunthorpe United | 8 | -8 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Wealdstone | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | York City | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Woking | 8 | 4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | York City |
| 28.17% ( | 24.57% ( | 47.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( | 46.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( | 68.87% ( |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( | 30.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( | 66.45% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( | 19.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( | 51.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 2-0 @ 4.28% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.17% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0-3 @ 4.25% ( 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 2-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.26% |