Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.