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National League | Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank
Notts County

Dorking
3 - 1
Notts County

McShane (19', 90', 90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Scott (50')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawNotts County
16.88% (0.27 0.27)18.44% (-0.352 -0.35)64.68% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Both teams to score 61.85% (2.021 2.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.32% (2.295 2.3)31.68% (-2.29 -2.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.81% (2.646 2.65)53.19% (-2.642 -2.64)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (1.747 1.75)31.82% (-1.744 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (1.955 1.96)68.25% (-1.952 -1.95)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71% (0.65899999999999 0.66)9.28% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.65% (1.542 1.54)31.35% (-1.539 -1.54)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 16.88%
    Notts County 64.68%
    Draw 18.44%
Dorking WanderersDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.38% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.161 0.16)
2-0 @ 1.94% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 16.88%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.369 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.173 0.17)
0-0 @ 2.95% (-0.382 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.44%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.546 -0.55)
1-3 @ 7.57% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.682 -0.68)
0-3 @ 6.61% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-4 @ 4.5% (0.188 0.19)
2-3 @ 4.34% (0.258 0.26)
0-4 @ 3.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.58% (0.223 0.22)
1-5 @ 2.14% (0.149 0.15)
0-5 @ 1.87% (0.045 0.05)
2-5 @ 1.23% (0.139 0.14)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 64.68%

rhs 2.0


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