Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank
Gateshead

Dorking
2 - 1
Gateshead

McShane (18', 21')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Campbell (70')
Storey (73')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

Last Six:
Last Game: Maidstone 2-4 Dorking
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League

Gateshead

Last Six:
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Notts County
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawGateshead
41.15% (1.203 1.2)23.88% (-0.121 -0.12)34.97% (-1.078 -1.08)
Both teams to score 61.59% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (0.424 0.42)40.58% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (0.432 0.43)62.96% (-0.428 -0.43)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (0.735 0.73)19.98% (-0.732 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.84% (1.169 1.17)52.15% (-1.164 -1.16)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.381 -0.38)23.03% (0.385 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (-0.565 -0.56)56.85% (0.568 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 41.15%
    Gateshead 34.97%
    Draw 23.88%
Dorking WanderersDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.127 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.152 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 41.15%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-1 @ 6.76% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.97%