Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for York City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
37.04% ( 3.15) | 25.78% ( 0.56) | 37.17% ( -3.7) |
Both teams to score 55% ( -1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.8% ( -2.14) | 49.2% ( 2.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.73% ( -1.96) | 71.26% ( 1.96) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( 0.82) | 25.87% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( 1.1) | 60.86% ( -1.1) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -2.91) | 25.8% ( 2.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -4.12) | 60.76% ( 4.12) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.77) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.57) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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