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National League | Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Dagenham & Redbridge

York City
1 - 1
Dag & Red

Sanders (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sagaf (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Southend
Saturday, October 8 at 12.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for York City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
York CityDrawDagenham & Redbridge
37.04% (3.147 3.15)25.78% (0.56 0.56)37.17% (-3.704 -3.7)
Both teams to score 55% (-1.525 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-2.14 -2.14)49.2% (2.143 2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-1.961 -1.96)71.26% (1.963 1.96)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (0.824 0.82)25.87% (-0.822 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (1.1 1.1)60.86% (-1.097 -1.1)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-2.913 -2.91)25.8% (2.916 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (-4.119 -4.12)60.76% (4.122 4.12)
Score Analysis
    York City 37.05%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 37.17%
    Draw 25.77%
York CityDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.957 0.96)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.408 0.41)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.773 0.77)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.265 0.27)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.403 0.4)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.05%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.567 0.57)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.491 -0.49)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-0.517 -0.52)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.572 -0.57)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.499 -0.5)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.319 -0.32)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.323 -0.32)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.267 -0.27)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: York City vs Dag & Red

York City
71.4%
Draw
23.8%
Dagenham & Redbridge
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2017 3pm
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
York City
0-2
Dag & Red

McDaid (77'), Connolly (79')
Moke (81')
Hawkins (28'), Gutteridge (45')
Gutteridge (73'), Heard (81')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Dag & Red
1-0
York City
Passley (78')
Labadie (92'), Hoyte (95')

Flinders (57'), Winfield (91'), Carson (96')
Penn (57')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
York City
2-2
Dag & Red
Oliver (14'), Coulson (79')
Collins (18'), McCoy (90')
Hemmings (31'), Cureton (56')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
York City
0-2
Dag & Red

McCombe (38'), Penn (68'), Carson (91')
Cureton (19', 52')
Louis Jakubiak (59')