Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
| 33.23% ( | 27.44% ( | 39.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( | 56.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( | 77.38% ( |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( | 31.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% ( | 68.14% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( | 27.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% ( | 63.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 3-2 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.33% |