Aldershot Town
Altrincham
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Braintree Town
Carlisle United
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Southend United
Sutton United
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Southend United
National League | Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
2 - 0
Dorking

Bridge (9' pen.), Hobson (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions
Last Game: Southend 2-2 Notts County
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-3 Dorking
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Southend UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
59.78% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)21.23% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)18.99% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 55.85% (0.553 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.6% (0.592 0.59)41.39% (-0.592 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.2% (0.597 0.6)63.79% (-0.595 -0.59)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (0.167 0.17)13.47% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.52% (0.333 0.33)40.48% (-0.331 -0.33)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (0.515 0.52)35.45% (-0.515 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.532 0.53)72.21% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Southend United 59.78%
    Dorking Wanderers 18.99%
    Draw 21.23%
Southend UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 59.78%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 18.99%