Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Yeovil Town |
35.97% ( 5.43) | 24.53% ( 0.38) | 39.5% ( -5.8) |
Both teams to score 59.4% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.49% ( -0.13) | 43.5% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.1% ( -0.12) | 65.9% ( 0.12) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( 3.17) | 23.84% ( -3.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( 4.34) | 58.02% ( -4.34) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( -2.69) | 22.01% ( 2.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.67% ( -4.24) | 55.33% ( 4.24) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Yeovil Town |
2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.81) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.92) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.69) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.63) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.35) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.07% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.61) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.64) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -1.04) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.71) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.83) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.43) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.44) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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