National League Gameweek 18
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • Dillon De Silva 12' goal
  • Dillon De Silva 65' goal
  • Mark Ellis 80' goal
  • goal Nick Wheeler 45'+1'
  • goal James McShane 51'
  • goal Jimmy Muitt 53'

Torquay United vs Dorking Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Torquay Utd 6 - 1 Aldershot
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Aaron Jarvis

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Dorking 0 - 3 Aldershot
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
James McShane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Torquay United 42.17% (+0.11)
Draw 22.42% (-0.12)
Dorking Wanderers 35.41% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.3% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.83% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 33.17% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 45.08% (+0.70)
Under 3.5 54.92% (-0.70)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 83.51% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 16.48% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 53.8% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 46.2% (-0.52)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 80.58% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 19.41% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 48.76% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 51.24% (-0.47)

Score analysis

Torquay United 42.17%
Draw 22.42%
Dorking Wanderers 35.41%
Torquay United
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.12% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.2% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.89% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-98.97)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 42.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.99% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 2.29% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.42%
Dorking Wanderers
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.24% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 35.41%