National League | Gameweek 18

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
3 - 3
Dorking

De Silva (12', 65'), Ellis (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wheeler (45+1'), McShane (51'), Muitt (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Torquay United and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Derby
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 0-3 Aldershot
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
42.17% ( 0.1)	22.42% ( -0.12)	35.41% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 67.3% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.83% (

0.61)

33.17% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.08% (

0.69)

54.92% (

-0.69)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

0.29)

16.48% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.8% (

0.51)

46.2% (

-0.52)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58% (

0.28)

19.41% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.76% (

0.46)

51.24% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Torquay United 42.17%

Dorking Wanderers 35.41%

Draw 22.42%

Torquay United	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.59% Total : 42.17%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.42%	1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.41%