National League | Gameweek 17

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
4 - 0
Torquay Utd

Rawlinson (27'), Rodrigues (34' pen.), de Castro (88'), Bajrami (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-6 Notts County
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Torquay United

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 8.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Torquay United
76.52% ( -0.08)	15.17% ( 0.04)	8.3% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 45.4% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.06% (

-0.09)

38.94% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.74% (

-0.1)

61.26% (

0.1)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.54% (

-0.04)

8.46% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.64% (

-0.1)

29.36% (

0.1)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.6% (

0.01)

50.39% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.07% (

0.01)

84.93% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Notts County 76.51%

Torquay United 8.3%

Draw 15.17%

Notts County	Draw	Torquay United
2-0 @ 13% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 76.51%	1-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 15.17%	0-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 8.3%