National League | Gameweek 16

Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
1 - 6
Notts County

Obiero (60')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Langstaff (2'), Chicksen (24', 42'), Palmer (30'), Nemane (46'), Bajrami (55')

Coverage of the National League clash between Wealdstone and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Maidstone
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-0 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Notts County
15.17% ( -0.13)	20.19% ( -0.14)	64.65% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 51.23% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.46% (

0.36)

43.54% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.07% (

0.35)

65.93% (

-0.34)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.69% (

0.05)

41.31% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.17% (

0.04)

77.83% (

-0.04)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.28% (

0.19)

12.72% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.06% (

0.38)

38.94% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 15.17%

Notts County 64.64%

Draw 20.19%

Wealdstone	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 15.17%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.19%	0-2 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 64.64%