Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-0 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Notts County |
15.17% ( -0.13) | 20.19% ( -0.14) | 64.65% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 51.23% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.46% ( 0.36) | 43.54% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.07% ( 0.35) | 65.93% ( -0.34) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.69% ( 0.05) | 41.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.17% ( 0.04) | 77.83% ( -0.04) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.28% ( 0.19) | 12.72% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.06% ( 0.38) | 38.94% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 15.17% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.19% | 0-2 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 64.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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