Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
44.07% ( -2.79) | 26.05% ( 0.59) | 29.88% ( 2.2) |
Both teams to score 52.22% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.06% ( -1.25) | 51.94% ( 1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.32% ( -1.09) | 73.68% ( 1.09) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( -1.82) | 23.46% ( 1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% ( -2.71) | 57.47% ( 2.72) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( 1) | 31.78% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% ( 1.13) | 68.21% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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