National League | Gameweek 6

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
3 - 1
Gateshead

Tozer (2'), Palmer (9'), Mullin (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bailey (26')
Storey (16'), Olley (53')
Storey (29')

Coverage of the National League clash between Wrexham and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

Last Six:

Last Game: Gateshead 0-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Halifax Town	6	-5	4
22	Gateshead	5	-2	3
23	Scunthorpe United	6	-6	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 13.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Gateshead
67.74% ( -1.56)	18.35% ( 0.46)	13.92% ( 1.1)

Both teams to score 54.43% (

1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.3% (

0.51)

37.7% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.05% (

0.54)

59.94% (

-0.54)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.79% (

-0.25)

10.21% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.49% (

-0.56)

33.51% (

0.56)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.62% (

1.95)

39.37% (

-1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.93% (

1.78)

76.07% (

-1.78)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 67.73%

Gateshead 13.92%

Draw 18.35%

Wrexham	Draw	Gateshead
2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.76% Total : 67.73%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.35%	1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.79% Total : 13.92%