Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match.