National League | Gameweek 12

Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
1 - 2
Wrexham

Fondop (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tozer (85'), Mullin (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Bromley 3-0 Oldham
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Wrexham
24.92% ( -0)	22.45% ( -0)	52.63% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.42% (

0.01)

39.58% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.07% (

0.01)

61.93% (

-0.01)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

0.01)

29.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.05% (

0.01)

64.95% (

-0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.87% (

0.01)

15.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.3% (

0.01)

43.7% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 24.92%

Wrexham 52.63%

Draw 22.45%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 6.34% 1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.32% Total : 24.92%	1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.94% Total : 52.63%