National League Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Boundary Park
  • Mike Fondop 26' goal
  • goal Ben Tozer 85'
  • goal Paul Mullin 90'+6'

Oldham Athletic vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Bromley 3 - 0 Oldham
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Mike Fondop

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Wrexham 6 - 0 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
116
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result

Oldham Athletic 24.92% (-0.01)
Draw 22.45% (-0.01)
Wrexham 52.63% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.22% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.42% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 39.58% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 38.07% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 61.93% (-0.02)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 70.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.04% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.05% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.95% (-0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 84.87% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 15.13% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 56.3% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 43.7% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Oldham Athletic 24.92%
Draw 22.45%
Wrexham 52.63%
Oldham Athletic
2-1 @ 6.34%
1-0 @ 5.43% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 24.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.45%
Wrexham
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.93%
2-3 @ 3.77% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 52.63%

Head to Head

League One
Mar 12, 2005 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steve Roberts 71' yellowcard
  • Darren Ferguson 79' yellowcard
  • Hector Sam 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Hughes 65'
  • yellowcard Adam Griffin 67'
League One
Aug 10, 2004 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • John Eyre 44' yellowcard
  • Dean Holden 65' yellowcard
  • Danny Boshell 71' goal
  • Rodney Jack 79' goal
  • Danny Boshell 89' yellowcard
  • goal Hector Sam 2'
  • goal Hector Sam 24'
  • goal Hector Sam 62'