National League | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
3 - 2
Eastleigh

Burgess (3'), Fondop (65'), Wellens (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Whitehall (29', 38')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Woking 3-0 Oldham
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Halifax Town	8	-3	8
16	Oldham Athletic	8	-5	8
17	Dagenham & Redbridge	8	-7	8

Eastleigh

Last Six:

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-1 Yeovil
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Bromley	8	-1	13
11	Eastleigh	8	-1	11
12	Maidstone United	8	-6	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Eastleigh
41.47% ( -1.4)	24.61% ( 0.03)	33.92% ( 1.37)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

0.29)

44.28% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

0.28)

66.66% (

-0.28)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

-0.53)

21.4% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61% (

-0.82)

54.39% (

0.82)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

0.96)

25.36% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

1.3)

60.16% (

-1.3)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 41.47%

Eastleigh 33.92%

Draw 24.61%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Eastleigh
2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.47%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.92%