National League | Gameweek 6

Aug 29, 2022 at 5.15pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
3 - 1
Eastleigh

Pritchard (28'), Shields (37'), Hall (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ebanks (83')
Ebanks (62')

Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

Last Six:

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-1 Barnet
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Wrexham	5	5	10
5	Barnet	5	3	10
6	Eastleigh	5	2	10

Eastleigh

Last Six:

Last Game: Eastleigh 2-1 Southend
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Barnet	5	3	10
6	Eastleigh	5	2	10
7	Bromley	5	2	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Eastleigh
41.79% ( -0.01)	25.23% ( -0.1)	32.97% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.22% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.66% (

0.48)

47.34% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.44% (

0.44)

69.56% (

-0.44)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

0.2)

22.56% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84% (

0.3)

56.15% (

-0.3)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

0.3)

27.4% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13% (

0.39)

62.87% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Barnet 41.79%

Eastleigh 32.97%

Draw 25.22%

Barnet	Draw	Eastleigh
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.79%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 8% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.97%