Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.