Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.