National League | Gameweek 12

Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 1
Altrincham

Langstaff (42', 44', 60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dinanga (47')

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: York City 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 1-0 Aldershot
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Altrincham
71.07% ( 0.14)	17.18% ( -0.03)	11.75% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.34% (

-0.16)

37.66% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11% (

-0.17)

59.89% (

0.17)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

-0.01)

9.4% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.38% (

-0.02)

31.61% (

0.02)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.31% (

-0.29)

42.69% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.97% (

-0.25)

79.03% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Notts County 71.07%

Altrincham 11.75%

Draw 17.18%

Notts County	Draw	Altrincham
2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.12% Total : 71.07%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.18%	1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 11.75%