Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Altrincham |
71.07% ( 0.14) | 17.18% ( -0.03) | 11.75% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.34% ( -0.16) | 37.66% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.11% ( -0.17) | 59.89% ( 0.17) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.6% ( -0.01) | 9.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.38% ( -0.02) | 31.61% ( 0.02) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.31% ( -0.29) | 42.69% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.97% ( -0.25) | 79.03% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Altrincham |
2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.12% Total : 71.07% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.18% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 11.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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