National League | Gameweek 3

Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane

Notts County
3 - 1
Altrincham

Wootton (15', 26'), Reeves (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mooney (77')
White (57')

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Altrincham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Altrincham
44.31%	25.06%	30.62%

Both teams to score 55.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.55%

47.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.33%

69.66%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57%

21.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.56%

54.44%

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01%

28.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12%

64.88%

Score Analysis

Notts County 44.31%

Altrincham 30.62%

Draw 25.06%

Notts County	Draw	Altrincham
1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.31%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.62%