National League | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
1 - 0
Aldershot

Colclough (77' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

Last Six:

Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Altrincham
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Aldershot 5-1 Halifax
Saturday, September 17 at 5.20pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Aldershot Town
46.19% ( -0.57)	25.94% ( 0.45)	27.87% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 51.34% (

-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.5% (

-1.71)

52.5% (

1.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.83% (

-1.49)

74.17% (

1.5)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

-0.97)

22.7% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.65% (

-1.47)

56.36% (

1.48)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.41% (

-0.8)

33.59% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.77% (

-0.89)

70.24% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 46.19%

Aldershot Town 27.87%

Draw 25.94%

Altrincham	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.19%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.87%