National League | Gameweek 7

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
3 - 1
Barnet

Effiong (25', 90'), Willard (90+3')
Vincent (21'), Panayiotou (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pritchard (34')
Kanu (54'), Smith (56'), Gorman (85'), Wynter (87')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Aldershot 1-3 Maidstone
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Gateshead	6	-4	3
23	Scunthorpe United	6	-6	3
24	Aldershot Town	6	-7	3

Barnet

Last Six:

Last Game: Barnet 3-1 Eastleigh
Monday, August 29 at 5.15pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Wrexham	6	7	13
3	Barnet	6	5	13
4	Wealdstone	6	3	13

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Barnet
33.54% ( 0.24)	24.74% ( -0.08)	41.72% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

0.41)

44.98% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67% (

0.39)

67.33% (

-0.39)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08% (

0.34)

25.91% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.09% (

0.46)

60.91% (

-0.46)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

0.1)

21.58% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.32% (

0.15)

54.68% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 33.54%

Barnet 41.72%

Draw 24.74%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.54%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.72%