Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wealdstone |
45.57% ( 0.39) | 24.24% ( -0.03) | 30.19% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 58.37% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.03% ( -0.06) | 43.97% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.64% ( -0.06) | 66.36% ( 0.06) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.55% ( 0.14) | 19.45% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.7% ( 0.23) | 51.3% ( -0.23) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.47% ( -0.27) | 27.53% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.96% ( -0.35) | 63.04% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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