Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Aldershot Town |
45.35% ( 0.24) | 22.91% ( -0.05) | 31.75% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 64.03% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.1% ( 0.16) | 36.91% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.92% ( 0.17) | 59.09% ( -0.16) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.26% ( 0.16) | 16.74% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.34% ( 0.27) | 46.67% ( -0.26) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( -0.03) | 23.1% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% ( -0.04) | 56.96% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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