Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 43.68% ( | 25.36% ( | 30.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( | 48.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( | 70.7% ( |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( | 22.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% ( | 55.61% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( | 29.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( | 65.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.96% |