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FA Cup

Torquay United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
Derby logo

Torquay Utd
2 - 2
Derby

Hall (56' pen.), Goodwin (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osula (27', 47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Torquay United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
Last Game: Torquay Utd 6-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawDerby County
17.72% (1.155 1.16)20.58% (0.645 0.65)61.7% (-1.797 -1.8)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (-0.9 -0.9)40.49% (0.903 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (-0.934 -0.93)62.87% (0.937 0.94)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.804 0.8)36.3% (-0.801 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.804 0.8)73.08% (-0.79899999999999 -0.8)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)12.63% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (-1.631 -1.63)38.76% (1.634 1.63)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 17.72%
    Derby County 61.7%
    Draw 20.58%
Torquay UnitedDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.262 0.26)
1-0 @ 4.65% (0.286 0.29)
2-0 @ 2.35% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.65% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 17.72%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.123 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.187 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.58%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 6.86% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 6.77% (-0.34 -0.34)
1-4 @ 3.55% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-5 @ 1.45% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 61.7%

How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Derby

Torquay United
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
Derby County
70.4%
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