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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Wes Burns
67'
Ipswich Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match.
Result
Ipswich Town
54.07%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
25.06%
▲
(+0.04)
Derby County
20.88%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
46.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.22%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
54.78%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
23.91%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
76.09%
▲
(+0.05)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5
79.75%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
20.25%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
47.41%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
52.58%
▲
(+0.10)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
58.82%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
41.18%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
22.28%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
77.71%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Ipswich Town
54.06%
Draw
25.05%
Derby County
20.88%
Ipswich Town
1-0
@
13.31%
2-0 @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.06%
2-0 @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.06%
Draw
1-1
@
11.81%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.05%
0-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.05%
Derby County
0-1
@
7.4%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 20.88%
