/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwyclog.png)
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Conor Hourihane
72'
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Conor Hourihane
86'
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Anis Mehmeti
15'
Derby County vs Wycombe Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Derby County
42.28%
▲
(+1.91)
Draw
25.73%
▲
(+0.36)
Wycombe Wanderers
31.99%
▼
(-2.26)
Both Teams to Score:
54.21%
▼
(-1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.21%
▼
(-2.13)
Under 2.5
49.79%
▲
(+2.14)
Over 3.5
28.21%
▼
(-1.94)
Under 3.5
71.79%
▲
(+1.94)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
76.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
23.39%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
42.63%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
57.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5
70.76%
▼
(-2.47)
Under 0.5
29.24%
▲
(+2.47)
Over 1.5
34.81%
▼
(-3.14)
Under 1.5
65.19%
▲
(+3.15)
Score analysis
Derby County
42.28%
Draw
25.72%
Wycombe Wanderers
31.99%
Derby County
1-0
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.84)
2-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.62)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 42.28%
2-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.62)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 42.28%
Draw
1-1
@
12.21%
▲
(+0.23)
0-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.58)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.58)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
Wycombe Wanderers
0-1
@
8.41%
▲
(+0.16)
1-2 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.29)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 31.99%
1-2 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.29)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 31.99%
