League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
0 - 2
Derby

FT(HT: 0-1)

Collins (45', 83')

Coverage of the League One clash between Cambridge United and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Wycombe
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Derby County
23.4% ( -0.01)	24.54% ( -0)	52.05% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.54% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74%

50.26% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78% (

-0)

72.21% (

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85% (

-0.01)

36.14% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.07% (

-0.01)

72.93% (

0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71% (

19.28% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.97% (

0.01)

51.02% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 23.4%

Derby County 52.05%

Draw 24.54%

Cambridge United	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.4%	1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.05%