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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Cambridge United

Morecambe
1 - 2
Cambridge

Weir (12')
Weir (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lankester (32'), Knibbs (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Cambridge United

Recent setbacks in League One have taken the gloss off a bright start for Cambridge this term, and they will surely not suffer a third straight loss at the hands of Morecambe. The hosts have enjoyed improved fortunes of late, but remain vulnerable defensively and are likely to concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
37.92% (0.179 0.18) 27.59% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 34.49% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (0.202 0.2)56.76% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (0.161 0.16)77.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.20400000000001 0.2)28.95% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.253 0.25)64.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)67.39% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 37.92%
    Cambridge United 34.49%
    Draw 27.58%
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.49%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Cambridge

Morecambe
30.8%
Draw
17.3%
Cambridge United
51.9%
52
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Smith (42'), Ironside (71' pen.)
Stockton (68')
Fane (51')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Morecambe
0-2
Cambridge

McDonald (19'), Stockton (45+1'), Ayunga (54'), Price (64')
Worman (28'), Ironside (72' pen.)
Lankester (29'), Smith (78')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Mullin (18', 81' pen.)
Taylor (83'), Ironside (87'), Digby (90+3'), Burton (90+4')
Price (88')
Mendes Gomes (51'), Wildig (82')
Gibson (55')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
0-5
Cambridge

Diagouraga (58'), Mendes Gomes (60')
Hoolahan (29'), Turner (34' og.), May (37'), Mullin (54', 64')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Cambridge
Phillips (46')
Phillips (55'), Slew (60'), Cooney (92')
Knibbs (68')
Lewis (25'), Maris (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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