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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Cambridge United

Morecambe
1 - 2
Cambridge

Weir (12')
Weir (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lankester (32'), Knibbs (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Cambridge United

Recent setbacks in League One have taken the gloss off a bright start for Cambridge this term, and they will surely not suffer a third straight loss at the hands of Morecambe. The hosts have enjoyed improved fortunes of late, but remain vulnerable defensively and are likely to concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
37.92% (0.179 0.18) 27.59% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 34.49% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (0.202 0.2)56.76% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (0.161 0.16)77.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.20400000000001 0.2)28.95% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.253 0.25)64.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)67.39% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 37.92%
    Cambridge United 34.49%
    Draw 27.58%
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.49%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Cambridge

Morecambe
30.8%
Draw
17.3%
Cambridge United
51.9%
52
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Smith (42'), Ironside (71' pen.)
Stockton (68')
Fane (51')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Morecambe
0-2
Cambridge

McDonald (19'), Stockton (45+1'), Ayunga (54'), Price (64')
Worman (28'), Ironside (72' pen.)
Lankester (29'), Smith (78')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Mullin (18', 81' pen.)
Taylor (83'), Ironside (87'), Digby (90+3'), Burton (90+4')
Price (88')
Mendes Gomes (51'), Wildig (82')
Gibson (55')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
0-5
Cambridge

Diagouraga (58'), Mendes Gomes (60')
Hoolahan (29'), Turner (34' og.), May (37'), Mullin (54', 64')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Cambridge
Phillips (46')
Phillips (55'), Slew (60'), Cooney (92')
Knibbs (68')
Lewis (25'), Maris (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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