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Championship header 2

League One

Derby logo
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Port Vale

Derby
1 - 2
Port Vale

Collins (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harrison (55' pen.), Wilson (66')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Derby (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPort Vale
47.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.09%27.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55%53.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.45%
    Port Vale 27.45%
    Draw 25.08%
Derby CountyDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.45%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.45%

rhs 2.0


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