Derby County vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.