League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Harrison (9', 90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Saydee (19')

Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Shrewsbury Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Lincoln City	8	-3	10
17	Port Vale	8	-3	9
18	Bristol Rovers	8	-3	8

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Exeter
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Peterborough United	8	5	12
8	Shrewsbury Town	8	0	12
9	Exeter City	8	4	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
45.25% ( -2.08)	28.89% ( 0.27)	25.86% ( 1.81)

Both teams to score 41.91% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.13% (

0.18)

63.87% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.9% (

0.13)

83.09% (

-0.13)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69% (

-0.99)

28.31% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.96% (

-1.26)

64.04% (

1.26)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46% (

1.79)

41.54% (

-1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.97% (

1.53)

78.03% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 45.25%

Shrewsbury Town 25.86%

Draw 28.88%

Port Vale	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 14.84% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.57% Total : 45.25%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.88%	0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.2% Total : 25.86%