Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Vale Park

Ellis Harrison 9'
Ellis Harrison 90'+1'

Christian Saydee 19'

Port Vale vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

D
D
W
L
W
L

League One

D
D
L
W
L
D

Last game

Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm

Barnsley 1 - 1 Port Vale

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Ellis Harrison

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

W
W
L
D
L
L

League One

W
W
D
L
D
W

Last game

Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm

Shrewsbury 3 - 2 Exeter

Goals scored

52

Top scorer

Luke Leahy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result

Port Vale 45.25% ▼ (-2.08)

Draw 28.89% ▲ (+0.27)

Shrewsbury Town 25.86% ▲ (+1.81)

Both Teams to Score:

41.91% ▲ (+0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.13% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 2.5 63.87% ▼ (-0.19)

Over 3.5 16.9% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 3.5 83.09% ▼ (-0.14)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 71.69% ▼ (-0.99)

Under 0.5 28.31% ▲ (+0.99)

Over 1.5 35.96% ▼ (-1.27)

Under 1.5 64.04% ▲ (+1.27)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.46% ▲ (+1.79)

Under 0.5 41.54% ▼ (-1.79)

Over 1.5 21.97% ▲ (+1.54)

Under 1.5 78.03% ▼ (-1.54)

Score analysis

Port Vale 45.25%

Draw 28.88%

Shrewsbury Town 25.86%

Port Vale

1-0 @ 14.84% ▼ (-0.51)

2-0 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.61)

2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.11)

3-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.38)

3-1 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.15)

3-2 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)

4-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.16)

4-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 1.57%

Total : 45.25%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.03% ▲ (+0.19)

0-0 @ 11.76% ▼ (-0.08)

2-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.13)

Other @ 0.48%

Total : 28.88%

Shrewsbury Town

0-1 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.43)

1-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.36)

0-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.40)

1-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.18)

0-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.18)

2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-96.15)

Other @ 1.2%

Total : 25.86%

Head to Head

Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)

David Amoo 63'
Jordan Archer 75'

Kieran Kennedy 27' (OG)
Donald Love 69'

Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)

James Gibbons 51'
Connell Rawlinson 60'
Tom Pope 83'

James Rowland 39'
Ryan Sears 63'

Dec 5, 2017 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)

Cristian Montano 1'
Gavin Gunning 13'

Carlton Morris 13'
Mat Sadler 41'
Bryn Morris 67'
Louis Dodds 68'
Shaun Whalley 81'
Omar Beckles 90'

Mar 17, 2017 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Kiko 52'
Sam Foley 66'
Ryan Taylor 69'
Ryan Taylor 89'

Louis Dodds 74'
Stephen Humphrys 86'

Nov 26, 2016 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Ivan Toney 45'
Gary Deegan 63'

Sam Hart 14'
Kjell Knops 42'
Alex Jones 92'

Mar 25, 2016 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Jack Grimmer 15'
Junior Brown 39'
Abu Ogogo 64'
Sullay Kaikai 73'
Nathaniel Knight-Percival 92'

Louis Dodds 59'
Ryan Inniss 75'
Richard Duffy 79'

Form Data

Barnsley 1 - 1 Port Vale

Port Vale 2 - 2 Cheltenham

Port Vale 1 - 0 Stockport

Port Vale 0 - 1 Portsmouth

Burton Albion 0 - 2 Port Vale

MK Dons 2 - 1 Port Vale

Shrewsbury 3 - 2 Exeter

Forest Green 0 - 2 Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury 1 - 2 Wolves U21s

Bristol Rovers 1 - 1 Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury 0 - 1 Burnley

Shrewsbury 0 - 3 Ipswich